I am finishing this blog at the start because as I dot the i’s and cross the t’s on something that I have been cogitating over for the last week or so the Prime Minister has today empathised that building 1.5 million homes before the end of the parliament is a key part of the Government’s ‘plan for change’. To that end, building 1.5 million homes I mean, I have read a few bits and pieces recently that lead one to wonder whether the obstacles to doing so are systemic, and so can be legislated or mandated away, or are perhaps more deep-seated than that. Many in the housing sector are hard-wired to oppose new owner-occupier housing or housebuilders themselves. The reasons are endless – design quality, landbanking, ecology, sprawl, profit, water, nutrients, heritage, traffic, doctor’s capacity, sufficient permissions already, etc, etc. So wrote Philip Barnes in a recent blog, within which Mr Barnes seeks to draw a line between Trapped , Daniel Hewitt’s podcast on the housing em...
One of the secrets to consultancy, I learnt, is to answer a question before it is asked and the release tomorrow by MHCLG of the net additional dwelling data for 2023/24, which Neal Hudson has already predicted does not look pretty for the South East (see below), may very well prompt Ministers to ask why there has not yet been an increase in applications for new homes. Were that question to be asked of me this is what I would say... Firstly, the proposed changes to the standard method and the Grey Belt proposition are, in my humble opinion, ‘game changers’. There is a sophistic argument to be had about whether the presumption has actually been strengthened pursuant to the 2012 iteration, but, regardless, it will be triggered in many more LPAs than is the case presently and Grey Belt, a tightening here and a clarification there, is a route to securing consent on sites years earlier than might otherwise be the case. Whilst the 50% affordable Golden Rule may have spooked some parties wit...